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Chiefs at Bills: Sal's keys, notes and stats

Both teams look to bounce back after losses

October 18, 2020 - 5:39 pm
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The Buffalo Bills will try to get to bounce back from their first loss of the season when they take on the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs on Monday afternoon.  The Chiefs will be looking to do the same. Both teams are 4-1. Here are four keys to the game, plus notes and stats:

KEYS

• Re-focus

The Bills need to put Tuesday night’s loss at the Titans behind them as quickly as possible, and hopefully they already did that at practice and in meetings throughout this week. There were a lot of schedule changes last week, including at one point last not even knowing when their next game was or even who the opponent would be, and then playing a team that was making headlines for two weeks for a Covid outbreak. No one used those as excuses after the game, but it was clear the team wasn’t as focused, or as disciplined. You hope the lesson was learned that no matter what the circumstances, you still have to be as prepared and ready as possible. This week brings some scheduling changes and challenges, as well. And the Chiefs are coming off their own disappointing loss.

3rd downs

This game has two of the top three offenses in the NFL when it comes to converting third downs.  The Bills are No. 1 at 57.81%. The Chiefs are No. 3 at 51.52%.  But the Bills have also struggled to get teams off the field on third down, allowing a third-worst 50.88% conversion rate.  The Chiefs are better, but middle-of-the-pack on defensive third downs, allowing 42.62%, which is 15th in the NFL.  Whichever team can get an extra critical stop or two might have the chance to get that extra score that leads to a win.

Big plays

Both of these offenses thrive on the big play.  The Bills have 22 plays of 20 or more yards on the season, which is fourth-best in the NFL.  The Chiefs are right behind them, ranking fifth with 19 plays of 20 or more yards.  The Chiefs will be without wide receiver Sammy Watkins, but they still have tons of firepower all over the field, and can strike from anywhere.  The Bills really missed the presence of wideout John Brown last week and couldn’t get their downfield passing game going.  He’s questionable to play in this game and whether he does or not could have a huge impact on their ability to attack down the field the way they had through the first four games of the season.

• Front four pressure

The Raiders pulled the upset of the Chiefs last week by getting to Patrick Mahomes with their front four on defense, allowing their secondary to blanket the field.  They sacked him three times overall, but Mahomes often had to scramble and make plays outside the pocket.  He’s good at that, but doing that also takes away some of the field he wants to read.  The Bills haven’t been able to generate much of a pass rush this season (they’re 21st in the league in sacks per pass attempt), so if they want to follow this blueprint they’ll have to be find a way to be better at it than they’ve been.

NOTES AND STATS

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